I wanted to write a little bit about some of the players I’ll be following during the draft this afternoon – “my guys,” per se. These aren’t
all the players I like and they're not the guys that I think are necessarily the best, but just guys that I like for one reason or another and that I’ll be following on draft day. I’m not including guys that I interviewed or guys that I took in John Sickels’ mock draft, because I’m obviously already invested in those guys. So, here are 10 hitters and 10 pitchers that I really like and will be tracking during the draft…
Ten hitters I like
1) Matt Mangini
Junior 3B – Oklahoma State – L/R – 6’4” / 220 lbs.
Mangini led the Cape Cod league last summer with a .310 average – very impressive for a college player hitting with wood. Mangini hit .343/.409/.531 for North Carolina State as a sophomore before transferring to Oklahoma State for his junior year. The switch to the Big 12 didn’t seem to phase Mangini, as he hit .343/.444/.548 for the Cowboys this season. I’ve watched Mangini’s scouting video about 20 times and, while I don’t like how he side-saddles a lot of groundballs, I love how smooth and easy his swing looks. I would love to see the Mariners pop Mangini in the supplemental round…if he’s still there.
2) Justin Jackson
SS – TC Roberson HS (NC) – R/R – 6’2” / 175 lbs.
Jackson goes to the same high school that produced Cameron Maybin. Like Maybin, Jackson profiles as a five-tool talent. Why he isn’t projected to go in the first round really has me scratching my head – especially in a year where quality shortstops are few and far between. I’ve watched Jackson’s scouting video quite a bit as well and he sure passes the eye test. He’s a great athlete that makes everything look very easy. In the field, he’s very fluid and looks like he can stick at SS. As a hitter, he has a quick bat, makes hard contact and his wiry frame should fill out nicely. He’s fast and the overall package reminds me of Derek Jeter.
3) Dominic de la Osa
Junior SS/OF – Vanderbilt – R/R – 5’11” / 190 lbs.
All of Vanderbilt’s focus has been on pitcher David Price, who is projected to go first overall tomorrow. But, Dominic de la Osa has been a great contributor to the Commodore’s success as well. Last year, de la Osa hit .319 with 9 HRs at Vanderbilt before heading out to the Cape, where he hit .270 with 8 2Bs and 2 3Bs before being named to the All-Star team. This year he hit .378/.452/727 with 23 2Bs and 20 HRs. Seeing as how he’s listed as SS/OF, I’m guessing he won’t stick as a SS in pro ball, but he could probably be a good offensive 2B, no?
4) Blake Stouffer
Junior OF – Texas A&M – B/R – 6’1” / 185 lbs.
Stouffer is a switch-hitting OF for Texas A&M that has both power and speed. His sophomore campaign was poor, as he hit only .259/.389/.362, but he came alive this season, hitting .402/.490/.663 with 11 HRs and 22 stolen bases. Stouffer’s dad, Blair, played in the Texas Rangers’ organization. Texas A&M’s site lists Stouffer as an OF, but Baseball America lists him as a 3B/1B, saying that he doesn’t have the bat to handle a corner spot, but probably doesn’t have the glove to play 2B. So, while he might be limited defensively and could be a “tweener” of sorts, I like the gap power & speed combination.
5) Matt Spencer
Junior OF – Arizona State – L/L – 6’4” / 225 lbs.
A 24th-round selection by the Red Sox out of high school, Spencer instead chose to attend North Carolina. He didn’t see much playing time as a freshman, but started 46 games as a sophomore (playing in 64), hitting .278 with 6 HRs. That summer, he played for the Harwich Mariners in the Cape Cod league before transferring to Arizona State for his junior season. The Sun Devils lineup is just lethal and Spencer’s joined the hit parade with a .380/.446/.626 line this year.
6) Brandon Waring
Junior 3B – Wofford College – R/R – 6’4” / 195 lbs.
Wofford College is a private, liberal arts school in Spartansburg, South Carolina. The Terriers play in the Southern Conference and Waring was the cornerstone of their offense this year. Last year, as a sophomore, Waring hit a respectable .266/.395/.563 before breaking his wrist and undergoing season-ending surgery. The wrist seems to be healed and this year he was an absolute monster, posting a ridiculous line of .401/.518/.851. I don’t care what conference you play in – slugging .851 is downright impressive.
7) Steven Hill
Senior 1B – Stephen F. Austin State University – R/R – 6’0” / 195 lbs.
I know, I know…he’s a senior, he’s a bad-bodied, right-handed first baseman and he’s playing for a team that hasn’t ever produced a Major Leaguer. But, the guy knows how to hit a baseball. As a sophomore at Eastfield Junior College, Hill clubbed 31 home runs. Last year, at Stephen F. Austin, he hit .348 with 14 home runs and this year he punished Southland Conference pitchers to the tune of .385/.486/.819 with as many HRs (24) as strikeouts. To show that he wasn’t just a bopper, Hill added 10 stolen bases for good measure. But, if history is any indication, I don’t think Don Henley’s title as most famous Stephen F. Austin alumnus is in jeopardy.
8) Robbie Widlansky
Junior OF – Florida Atlantic University – L/R – 6’2” / 210 lbs.
Widlansky was drafted in the 34th round out of high school by the Yankees. However, he turned them down to attend Florida Atlantic University. Widlansky became the Owls’ everyday third baseman as a freshman and hit .286. As a sophomore, he hit .317 with 7 home runs. That summer, he headed out to the Cape, where he hit .250 with three homers for the Bourne Braves. He started the first six games of his junior year for FAU before a hamstring injury forced him to be a medical redshirt. This year, with a pair of healthy legs back under him, Widlansky hit .433/.498/.729 with 24 doubles and 15 home runs.
9) Marcus Davis
Senior OF – Alcorn State – R/R – 6’4” / 205 lbs.
The Marlins drafted Davis in the 21st round of the 2004 draft out of East Central Community College in Mississippi, the alma matter of Detroit Tigers outfielder Marcus Thames. Davis did not sign and transferred to Alcorn State, where he blistered the ball in 2006, hitting .393/.447/.820 with 8 HRs and only 6 stolen bases in 23 games. This year, Davis played in 45 games and hit .393/.494/.841 with 16 HRs. Although he has always had good speed, Davis worked on improving his baserunning skills and strategy this year and swiped 29 bags. He also improved his contact skills and cut down on his strikeouts considerably. In 2006, he struck out 27 times in 89 at-bats. This year, he struck out just 28 times in 145 at-bats.
10) Tyler Mach
Senior 2B – Oklahoma State – R/R – 6’4” / 220 lbs.
Yes, the local connection helps. Mach is from Kent, WA and transferred to Oklahoma State after playing at Edmond Community College. However, the main reason I like Mach is because he can flat hit. Tyler’s dad is a financial adviser and one of his clients is Edgar Martinez. One time, Martinez took Mach on a tour of Safeco Field, showing him what he did every day – his workout routine and how he always hit balls off of a tee. The tips sure didn’t hurt. In 2006, Mach was the Big 12’s Co-Player of the Year and Newcomer of the Year after hitting .364 with a conference-best 16 HRs. How he was drafted in the 40th round, I’ll never know. This year, he continued to be an offensive force, hitting .401/.463/.700 with 24 doubles and 16 HRs.
Ten pitchers I like
1) Madison Bumgarner
LHP – South Caldwell HS (NC) – 6’5” / 220 lbs.
It’s really hard not to like big leftyhanders with gas – especially ones named Madison Bumgarner. Seriously – great baseball name, right? Bumgarner throws 95 and what I really like about him – actually what I really like about
his dad - is that his dad didn’t let him start throwing breaking balls until just last season. So, when you read scouting reports or writers complaining about his secondary stuff being behind his fastball (and, really, what HS pitcher’s secondary stuff
isn’t behind his fastball), take that with a big grain of salt and know that you’re getting a power lefty with a fresh arm. Watching his scouting video, Bumgarner reminds me of what Andrew Miller might have looked like in high school. Yes, please!
2) Jake Arrieta
RHP – Texas Christian University – 6’4” / 225 lbs.
Baseball America ranked Arrieta the 7th-best college junior in the nation at the beginning of the season. Arrieta was coming off of a TCU sophomore campaign where he went 14-4 with a 2.35 ERA and 111 Ks over 111 innings pitched. He was the first Horned Frog to ever pitch for Team USA, and he was great there as well – going 4-0 over six starts with a microscopic ERA of 0.27. His stock has fallen this year because Arrieta has somewhat of a control problem. While he struck out 93 batters over 98.2 IP, he also issued 50 free passes. But, he’s got a great pitcher’s body and while his fastball was down a bit this year, he was hitting 94 last season with a great slider. I like him better than any other college RHP in the draft.
3) Nick Hagadone
LHP – University of Washington – 6’5” / 230 lbs.
Nick Hagadone is a beast. Seriously, he’s a very athletic 6’5”, 230 lbs. with a big square jaw – he looks like a prince from a Disney movie, or something. He emerged as the Huskies best pitcher this season, coming out of the bullpen for the most part. His fastball jumped from the mid-80s to the mid-90s between his sophomore and junior seasons, and the differences show in the statistics. Hagadone made 25 appearances and tossed 68.1 innings, striking out 72 and walking 17 while compiling a 2.77 ERA. I’m not a fan of drafting relievers – unless they can be converted to starters in the minor leagues. Hagadone has started for UW, but his success came in the bullpen. I don’t know if he can start in pro ball, but I’d be willing to give him the chance.
4) Kyle Blair
RHP – Los Gatos HS (CA) – 6’3” / 200 lbs.
Blair is a very athletic kid – aside from being a great pitcher, he’s also a good hitter and was an all-conference water polo player. The next time you’re in a pool, try and tread water for 10 minutes – it’s tough! His fastball sits in the low 90s, but can hit 95. His curveball was a little loopy last year, but he’s tightened it up and, according to Baseball America, it now ranks as a solid 60 on the 20-80 scale. They also say that his makeup is universally lauded, and that’s always a plus in my book as well.
5) Wes Roemer
RHP – Cal State Fullerton – 6’0” / 200 lbs.
I really like Wes Roemer. Yeah, he’s on the small side and he doesn’t have overpowering stuff. But, he’s a bulldog on the mound and has impeccable control. Over the past two seasons, Roemer has pitched 282 innings, striking out 281 batters while walking only 29. However, Roemer has a reputation as somewhat of a red ass because, if he’s about to walk somebody, oftentimes he’ll just plunk them instead (he has hit 41 batters over the past two seasons). But, that just adds to his fiery, competitive nature. Roemer’s fastball sits in the high 80s, low 90s, but it has good sink (Roemer’s only allowed 14 HRS the past two seasons) and arm-side run. He has a good slider and decent changeup. Plus, his favorite team is the Seattle Mariners!
6) Marc Rzepcynski
LHP – UC-Riverside – 6’3” / 210 lbs.
Rzepcynski missed some time earlier in the season with arm soreness, but he showed great stuff since then, quieting those concerns. As the Saturday starter for the Highlanders, behind James Simmons, Rzepcynski pitched 72.2 innings with a 2.72 ERA, 84 Ks and just 25 BBs. But, what I like best about Rzepcynski (who desperately needs an easier-to-spell nickname) is that he didn’t give up a home run. Not one. His season ended with a broken knuckle on his pitching hand, but as a senior already, he could have some helium as an easy guy to sign.
7) Adam Mills
RHP – UNC-Charlotte – 6’0” / 195 lbs.
Adam Mills is an easy guy to root for. As an undersized righty, Mills doesn’t have electric stuff, but he’s just a good pitcher – a pitcher’s pitcher. He may not light up the radar guns, but he knows how to get outs. There’s an
interview with him over at BaseballAnalysts
where he said, “Pitching is not about being 6'5" and throwing 98. It's about getting outs.” And Mills sure knows how to get outs. As a junior last season, Mills threw 114 innings, racking up 111 strikeouts and only 19 walks. This year, he pitched 142.2 innings and struck out 141 while walking 27. Oh, and did I mention he had an ERA of 1.01 and gave up only one home run? You can have Andrew Brackman and his tired arm…I’ll take Adam Mills.
8) Jeremy Hefner
RHP – Oral Roberts University – 6’5” / 200 lbs.
To answer your first question – I’m not sure if he’s related to Hugh, or not. Whether he is or isn’t, I like Hefner – but not as much as the Mets, who have drafted him twice (46th round in 04 and 48th round in ’05). Hefner throws a fastball in the low 90s with an effective slider. Hefner moved from the bullpen to the starting rotation this year and is still working on a curve and changeup. He has a good pitcher’s body and performed well for the Golden Eagles this season, going 9-2 with 107 strikeouts and 29 walks over 86 innings. I also really like his teammate, senior Chance Chapman.
9) Josh Collmenter
RHP – Central Michigan University – 6’4” / 235 lbs.
Collmenter is like a guy you’d create in a video game. Baseball America said, “…Collmenter isn’t pretty, but he is creative.” His motion is apparently “stiff” and “over the top” with a fastball that tops out in the low 90s with cutting action. He also throws a big curveball and has been known to mess around with an eephus and a knuckleball, but he gets results. Collmenter was the Mid-American Conference pitcher of the year after going 9-4 with a 1.93 ERA over 116.1 IP. He struck out 17 and walked 26. Throw in the fact that he has a sweet mustache that looks like it belongs in a ‘70s porn movie, and this guy is just straight awesome!
10) Tyler Levin
RHP – Central Washington University – 6’4” / 230 lbs.
Levin rounds out the list because if any player is drafted from CWU (my alma matter) this season, it will probably be him. A big righty from Everett, Levin was named the Great Northwest Athletic Conference Pitcher of the Year after going 10-2 with a 3.35 ERA. He was just the fifth pitcher in CWU history to record 10 or more wins in a season and his 67 strikeouts led the GNAC. I didn’t get out to a game this season, so I’m not sure what he throws, but his size and statistics indicate that he probably has solid stuff. He also allowed only two home runs over 82 IP. Go Wildcats!