Ok, so I participated in John Sickels’ second-annual MLB Mock Draft. I was going to be happy just being a “scout” for another mock scouting director, but nobody was jumping on the M’s, so I decided to give it a shot. I already had a lot of interest in the draft and I thought it would be an entertaining and informative endeavor. I was so right! I had an absolute blast preparing for this draft by reading scouting reports on Baseball America, looking for statistics and sleepers around the Internet and by watching the awesome prep and college video clips from MLB.com.
My overall strategy was to narrow down a list of guys that I thought would be available for the picks that the Mariners have. The mock draft was for the first five rounds, so I knew that we would have the 5th, 49th, 81st, 111th and 141st picks and I tried to find 5-8 guys that figured to still be on the board when my name was called.
For the first round, my board looked like this: Andrew Miller, Brandon Morrow, Luke Hochevar, Tim Lincecum, Brad Lincoln.
Miller was off the board first, to the Royals (surprise surprise). Then the Rockies selected Lincoln, the Devil Rays selected Lincecum and Sickels picked Stanford righty Greg Reynolds for the Pirates. Since I knew I didn’t have a chance at Miller, I got the guy I really was hoping for…
ROUND 1: Brandon Morrow, RHP, University of California
After reading a few of the comments on the Lookout Landing thread about the mock draft, it seems that some people think I overdrafted Morrow. But, I really like the guy. He’s 6-3 with a clean, repeatable delivery and a fastball that sits at 96-98. Morrow posted a 7-4 record with 97 strikeouts through 96.2 innings pitched.
Then, it was time for the waiting game. There were going to be 43 picks until I got to select again. Names started flying off the board…
Luke Hochevar went 8th, to the Reds. Local masher Travis Snider went 14th-overall to the Blue Jays. Texas OF Drew Stubbs dropped to the Padres at 17 and Ian Kennedy, Matt LaPorta and Dellin Betances went in the supplemental first round.
I was targeting Betances for my 2nd-round pick but, to be honest, I was kind of relieved that he was off the board. Sure, you have to love the projectability for a high schooler that’s 6-9. However, the shaky delivery and decreased velocity were making me a little gun shy. I took the next name on my “might be available in the second round” list.
ROUND 2: Adam Ottavino, RHP, Northeastern University
Sickels confirmed the pick by saying, “mariners steal ottavino.”
Ottavino is 6-5, 215 lbs and is just filthy. According to Baseball America’s scouting reports, he ranks as the 55th-best draft-eligible prospect in the country and he threw a no-hitter (while striking out 14) against one of the nation’s highest-scoring teams, James Madison. He throws a fastball that touches 95 with a power slider and an easy delivery. For the season, he struck out 105 hitters through 82 innings. I really like this kid too.
The second round was almost over and I was crossing my fingers that the guy I wanted would be around for my third pick. However, just when I was telling my mom about him (she was sweet enough to humor me throughout the thing), the Braves selected RHP Steve Evarts with the 72nd-overall pick. For some reason, I love that guy and hope the M’s can snag him in the real thing.
A few of the guys I was targeting for the third round were taken, so I ended up selecting another pitcher. This time I went with a high school arm…
ROUND 3: Wade Kapteyn, RHP, Illiana Christian HS (Lansing, Ill.)
Kapteyn is 6-5, 225 lbs. and here is what BA’s scouting report said about him:
“Kapteyn is the type of pitcher who could blossom into a first-rounder if he spends a few years improving in college, but he's good enough now that a club probably will sign him somewhere between the third and fifth rounds. He has explosive sink on his 89-93 mph fastball, and it could become a pitch with plus-plus velocity and plus-plus life. His secondary pitches aren't as refined as Zach McAllister's, but Kapteyn has made progress with his 80-82 mph slider and his changeup…”
Could blossom into a first-rounder? Explosive sink? Plus-plus velocity and plus-plus life? Yes please!
It was starting to get grueling…
Many of the guys I was targeting for the fourth round were taken in the late third round or before me in the fourth round (Harold Mozingo, Wade LeBlanc, Carmine Gardina, Sergio Perez), but I was fortunate enough to still have a guy I on my “round 3” list still on the board.
ROUND 4: Chad Lee, RHP, Barton County C.C. (Kansas)
Lee is 6-4, 195 lbs. and was ranked as Baseball America’s 76th-best draft-eligible prospect. They said he was the top juco prospect that wasn’t under control of a big league club (read: wasn’t drafted last season). However, they also said, “Lee would have been a strong draft-and-follow candidate in 2005 had he not torn the anterior cruciate ligament in his left knee during a rundown drill in fall practice. Although he’s been used in relief for most of this season, he gets great movement on his pitches and should get the opportunity to start again. If he doesn’t sign, he’ll attend Oklahoma.
At this point, my friend called and invited me over for salmon. The thing had already lasted more than four hours and I was getting tired. Although he didn’t make Baseball America’s Top 200 draft prospect list, I thought I had an ace up my sleeve for the M’s final pick…
ROUND 5: Shawn Scobee, OF, University of Nevada
Scobee (6-1, 205 lbs.) is an outfielder for the Nevada Wolfpack. After transferring from Cal State Fullerton last season, Scobee has been absolutely raking – hitting .371/.538/.847 for the season. Put that in your Moneyball pipe and smoke it! In the real draft, he might not go this high, but this was my last pick and you simply can’t ignore those numbers.
During the past couple weeks, I had a lot of fun and I learned a lot about some players I wouldn’t have known about otherwise. I also developed an incredible amount of respect for scouts and scouting directors out there. This was crazy and it was just five rounds – I can’t imagine doing 50!
If I had to grade myself for the M’s draft, I think I would give my self a B. I’m pretty satisfied with how I picked, but I think it could have been a little better. Perhaps I should have gone with Craig Baker, Glenn Gibson or Drew Rundle in the 5th round. Anyway, it will certainly be interesting to read Sickels’ analysis of the draft and to see where these guys actually go on Tuesday!
Speaking of Mr. Sickels, I would like to thank him for hosting such an awesome event. I can’t wait for next year – hopefully the M’s won’t be picking 5th again!